Methods of quality indicators assessing based on eventological scoring are used
to calculate the conditional probability of the target events occurrence, which permits
to get a formalized assessment of various parameters in the financial controlling.
This is a value that represents the strategic goal achievement extent; it has a
quantitative assessment and determines the key indicators of the effectiveness.
The eventological scoring method is a mathematical model promoting to
designate the onset of a pre-determined event of one kind or another on the ground of
the survey-based data bank.
The initial source of information for the calculation procedure is data obtained as
a result of questioning among the target group represented by experts. Thus, the
formulation for the mathematical definition of the problem is as follows. Let us suppose
that the system of financial controlling implementation within the enterprises of
consumer cooperation takes place within the probability space (Ω, F, P) with algebra
of measurable events F and the probability P, therefore, everything regarded here is
the set of events X
⊂ F and considered as measurable concerning algebra F.
All the events required for the assessment of the timeliness regarding financial
controlling usage are divided into two classes: survey-related events (occurring during
survey) and basic events (do not occur during survey but they are mentioned in the
questionnaire).
According to the target goal, the following formulation has been selected to
describe the target event s
⊆ Ω: "the suggested system of financial stability indicators
is the integral part of the financial controlling organization within the system of
consumer cooperation". The event s
a
= Ωs is formulated as «the formation of financial
stability indicators is to no purpose» (supplement of targeted events s), where Ω marks
the space of elementary target events.
Hereafter each survey issue was related to basic event х
i
⊆Ω (eg, lack of
environmental monitoring aimed at "weak" points identifying) as well as survey-
related event (the reply) х
i
⊆ Ω.
Let us suppose X as X = {х
1
, х
2
, ...., х
n
} i.e. the set of selected survey factors
describing the state of consumer cooperation.
Let us suppose М = {η, λ, ..., υ} i.e. the set of experts assessing the state of
consumer cooperation enterprises.
The set Х will be considered as a set of basic random events and each survey
question about the test factor х
i
(i=1,...,n) will be represented as х
i
={i, j}, where k-
variant is the answer to question х
i
that is a certain value level of factors х
i
(k = 1,...,
р
i
). It should be noted that the given problem reveals different dependence structure of
events in case of fixed k. The set {х
1
, х
2
,....,х
n
} also reveals certain structure of
dependence.
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