Thus, due to expert survey it is possible to estimate the probability of target event
s onset relying on the connection between basic event х
i
⊆ Ω and survey-related event
х
i
⊆ Ω. As a result of statistical processing the frequencies p(j, 0) and p(j, 1) must be
received for experts to give respectively positive and negative replies to the i-questions
(statistical likelihood of a basic event onset).
The survey should be carried out among the employees, customers and
shareholders as well as management of the consumer cooperation system.
The eventological scoring model reqiues the application of the probability
parameter α = 0,5 to interpret the survey events х
i
∈ Х
i
as contributing (not
contributing) the onset of the target event s, where s is formulated as follows: «the
suggested system of financial stability indicators is the integral part of the financial
controlling organization within the system of consumer cooperation".
Thus, if the frequency p (j, 1) is equal to α, the expert obtained response promotes
the onset of target events: х∩s, and vice versa.
According to binary hypothesis each basic event х
∈ Х is made up of two
alternative events:
c
x
x
s
x
s
+
,
where
xs
is the basic event promoting the
performing of target event s, and
c
x
s
x
x
s
− basic event that does not promote
the performing of target event s, where s is formulated as follows: «the suggested
system of financial stability indicators is the integral part of the financial controlling
organization within the system of consumer cooperation".
It is necessary to consider the events characterizing business processes indicators
and create the system of financial stability indicators:
- Gross profit margin;
- Gross income margin;
- Transformation ratio of assets;
- Turnover ratio of aggregate capital;
- Turnover ratio of owned capital;
- Turnover ratio of current assets;
- Turnover ratio of accounts payable;
- Turnover ratio of debt receivable;
- Turnover ratio of funds;
- Ratio of financial risk;
- Transitional liquidity ratio;
- The coverage ratio;
- The ratio of receivables and payables;
- Capital ratio;
- Total debt to equity;
- Leverage ratio;
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