unfavorable ones; the majority rule is put into practice by implementing the mentioned
earlier parameter
5
,
0
=
into the model of eventological scoring. Thus, if the
frequency p (j, 1) of the employees positive replies to the j-question is more than or
equals 1, it is considered that the response promotes target event
ˆxs
, and vice versa.
Further, during the process of eventological scoring favorable and unfavorable basic
event x for the event s is assign to have positive balance
(
)
0
sx
and
0
)
(
x
s
c
with a probabilistic interpretation:
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
x
P
x
s
P
x
s
P
x
s
=
,
)
(
)
(
)
(
)
(
x
P
x
s
P
x
s
P
x
s
c
c
c
=
.
In the considered case, we recommend to use survey-obtaned frequencies p (j, 0)
and p (j, 1) as the expert balance as they represent statistical likelihood of one or other
basic event onset (Table 2).
Table 2. Eventological scoring-survey to define the nominal likelihood of the
target event s onset
Question
Expert balance
Reply
«rather agree»
)
(
x
s
reply
«rather
disagree»
)
(
x
s
c
1. Does management inform you about representing long-term
plans in the form of specific indicators of operational
management?
2. Can you make suggestions to improve the management of
internal business processes?
3. Does the company provide the sufficient level of latest
technologies and developments?
4. Does your management provides improvement within the
system of remuneration and material incentives for
shareholders and employees of consumer cooperation?
5. Is the appropriate level of specialists with higher education
supported?
6. Is there a high index of service quality within the enterprises
of consumer cooperation from your point of view?
7. Does your management encourage employees to undergo
training (practical study) for the quarter (year)?
The nominal probability
(
)
)
(X
t
s
P
s
of the target event in terms of occurrence for
survey events in certain combination are then calculated according to the survey
results, they are interpreted as terrace-events t(X)
⊆Ω ( contiguous events in this case)
for three different eventological structures of basic events .
1) in the situation of the least ordinary basic events:
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